Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipHeat vs Warriors Prediction
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 10:00 PM EST · Chase Center
SlipHound gives the Warriors a 59% chance to beat the Heat.
The Warriors are a modest favorite.
The Warriors come in at 4-3 (2-1 at home); the Heat are 2-4 (1-1 on the road).
The Heat are 2-4 in their last 6 games.
The Warriors are 3-3 in their last 6 games, and have won 3 straight.
The Heat have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
The Heat are 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 6.
The Warriors are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 6.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
HeatLast 6: 2-4WWLLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | vs IND | W 145-125 | −8.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | @ ATL | W 129-117 | +2.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | vs DAL | L 109-113 | −7.5 missed |
| Oct 24 | @ CHA | L 110-115 | −4.5 missed |
| Oct 23 | vs DET | L 111-128 | +2.5 missed |
WarriorsLast 6: 3-3WWWLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | vs LAL | W 112-95 | +2.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | @ MIN | W 119-114 | +3.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | @ DEN | W 134-114 | +6.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ PHX | L 122-131 | +9.5 covered |
| Oct 23 | vs MEM | L 108-111 | −4.5 missed |
Head-to-head
Heat lead 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | at Warriors | Warriors 135 – 112 Heat |
| Nov 19, 2025 | at Heat | Warriors 96 – 110 Heat |
| Mar 25, 2025 | at Heat | Warriors 86 – 112 Heat |
| Jan 7, 2025 | at Warriors | Warriors 98 – 114 Heat |
Betting trends
Last 6 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Heat | Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Against the spread | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| As the favorite | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| As the underdog | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Over / under | 3 over · 3 under | 3 over · 3 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | −6.0 | +5.3 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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