Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipNuggets vs Rockets Prediction
Monday, November 9, 2026 · 8:30 PM EST · Toyota Center (Houston)
SlipHound gives the Rockets a 69% chance to beat the Nuggets.
The Rockets are a clear favorite.
The Rockets come in at 6-1 (3-0 at home); the Nuggets are 3-2 (2-1 on the road).
The Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
The Rockets are 6-1 in their last 7 games.
The Nuggets have won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
The Nuggets are 2-3 against the spread in their last 5 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 5.
The Rockets are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games, and the over has hit in 5 of their last 7.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
NuggetsLast 5: 3-2WWLWL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | @ PHX | W 127-120 | −4.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | @ NO | W 104-91 | −4.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | vs GS | L 114-134 | −6.5 missed |
| Oct 24 | vs NO | W 141-135 | −11.5 missed |
| Oct 22 | @ OKC | L 84-96 | +7.5 missed |
RocketsLast 7: 6-1WLWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs OKC | W 119-98 | −2.5 covered |
| Oct 30 | @ DAL | L 111-116 | −5.5 missed |
| Oct 28 | @ MIL | W 132-100 | −8.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | vs ATL | W 120-110 | −4.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ ATL | W 121-114 | −1.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Nuggets lead 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | at Nuggets | Rockets 93 – 129 Nuggets |
| Dec 20, 2025 | at Nuggets | Rockets 115 – 101 Nuggets |
| Dec 15, 2025 | at Nuggets | Rockets 125 – 128 Nuggets |
| Nov 21, 2025 | at Rockets | Rockets 109 – 112 Nuggets |
| Apr 13, 2025 | at Rockets | Rockets 111 – 126 Nuggets |
| Mar 23, 2025 | at Rockets | Rockets 111 – 116 Nuggets |
Betting trends
Last 7 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Nuggets | Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 3-2 | 6-1 |
| Against the spread | 2-3 | 6-1 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| As the favorite | 2-2 | 5-1 |
| As the underdog | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Over / under | 3 over · 2 under | 5 over · 2 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | −5.1 | +8.5 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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