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NBA PREDICTION

Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction

Monday, November 9, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST · American Airlines Center

Indiana Pacers2-619%win chance
Dallas Mavericks4-281%win chanceSlipHound pick

SlipHound gives the Mavericks an 81% chance to beat the Pacers.

The Mavericks are a heavy favorite.

The Mavericks come in at 4-2 (2-1 at home); the Pacers are 2-6 (2-2 on the road).

The Pacers are 2-5 in their last 7 games, and have lost 4 straight.

The Mavericks are 4-2 in their last 6 games, and have won 3 straight.

The Mavericks have won 3 of the last 5 meetings.

The Pacers are 3-4 against the spread in their last 7 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 7.

The Mavericks are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games, and the over has hit in 2 of their last 6.

Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.

Recent form

PacersLast 7: 2-5
LLLLW
DateOpponentResultLine
Nov 1vs BKNL 90-98−3.5 missed
Oct 30@ MIAL 125-145+8.5 missed
Oct 28vs PHIL 109-114+7.5 covered
Oct 26@ MILL 102-110−3.5 missed
Oct 25@ BKNW 136-109−5.5 covered
MavericksLast 6: 4-2
WWWLW
DateOpponentResultLine
Oct 30vs HOUW 116-111+5.5 covered
Oct 28vs OKCW 120-96+4.5 covered
Oct 26@ MIAW 113-109+7.5 covered
Oct 24vs SAL 106-122+14.5 missed
Oct 23@ INDW 121-105+7.5 covered

Head-to-head

Mavericks lead 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.

DateWhereScoreMavericks line
Oct 23, 2026at PacersMavericks 121 – 105 Pacers+7.5 covered
Feb 22, 2026at PacersMavericks 134 – 130 Pacers—
Oct 29, 2025at MavericksMavericks 107 – 105 Pacers—
Mar 19, 2025at PacersMavericks 131 – 135 Pacers—
Nov 4, 2024at MavericksMavericks 127 – 134 Pacers—

Betting trends

Last 7 games · spread and total are the closing lines.

“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.

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Our models are built from years of results and box scores — team and player strength, pace, rest, travel and recent form — and tested against real sportsbook prices before they go live. Win chances are updated as new results come in.

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