The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipThunder vs Grizzlies Prediction
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST · FedExForum
SlipHound gives the Thunder an 80% chance to beat the Grizzlies.
The Thunder are a heavy favorite.
The Grizzlies come in at 6-0 (2-0 at home); the Thunder are 4-2 (1-2 on the road).
The Thunder are 4-2 in their last 6 games.
The Grizzlies are 6-0 in their last 6 games, and have won 6 straight.
The Thunder have won 6 of the last 6 meetings.
The Thunder are 3-3 against the spread in their last 6 games, and the over has hit in 1 of their last 6.
The Grizzlies are 6-0 against the spread in their last 6 games, and the over has hit in 2 of their last 6.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ HOU | L 98-119 | +2.5 missed |
| Oct 28 | @ DAL | L 96-120 | −4.5 missed |
| Oct 26 | vs PHX | W 125-114 | −8.5 covered |
| Oct 25 | vs LAC | W 108-101 | −16.5 missed |
| Oct 22 | vs DEN | W 96-84 | −7.5 covered |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs SAC | W 136-105 | −7.5 covered |
| Oct 29 | @ POR | W 124-103 | +7.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | @ UTAH | W 110-105 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 25 | @ SAC | W 123-112 | −3.5 covered |
| Oct 23 | @ GS | W 111-108 | +4.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Thunder lead 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | at Grizzlies | Grizzlies 116 – 117 Thunder |
| Dec 22, 2025 | at Thunder | Grizzlies 103 – 119 Thunder |
| Nov 9, 2025 | at Grizzlies | Grizzlies 100 – 114 Thunder |
| Mar 27, 2025 | at Thunder | Grizzlies 104 – 125 Thunder |
| Mar 5, 2025 | at Grizzlies | Grizzlies 103 – 120 Thunder |
| Feb 8, 2025 | at Grizzlies | Grizzlies 112 – 125 Thunder |
Betting trends
Last 6 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Thunder | Grizzlies | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 4-2 | 6-0 |
| Against the spread | 3-3 | 6-0 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| As the favorite | 3-2 | 4-0 |
| As the underdog | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Over / under | 1 over · 5 under | 2 over · 4 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | −6.5 | +14.8 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
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How SlipHound predicts games
Our models are built from years of results and box scores — team and player strength, pace, rest, travel and recent form — and tested against real sportsbook prices before they go live. Win chances are updated as new results come in.

