Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipBall State vs UMass Prediction
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
SlipHound gives the UMass a 69% chance to beat the Ball State.
The UMass are a clear favorite.
The UMass come in at 4-4; the Ball State are 3-5.
The Ball State are 3-5 in their last 8 games.
The UMass are 4-4 in their last 8 games, and have lost 4 straight.
The Ball State are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 6 of their last 8.
The UMass are 4-4 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 2 of their last 8.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
Ball StateLast 8: 3-5WWLLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | vs SAC | W 34-17 | −14.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | @ BGSU | W 32-31 | +6 covered |
| Oct 10 | @ NU | L 14-45 | +34.5 covered |
| Oct 3 | vs TOL | L 24-39 | +20.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | @ KENT | L 13-26 | +2.5 missed |
UMassLast 8: 4-4LLLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | @ CONN | L 16-35 | +12.5 missed |
| Oct 17 | @ BUFF | L 18-25 | +6.5 missed |
| Oct 10 | vs M-OH | L 19-20 | +6 covered |
| Oct 3 | vs EMU | L 14-38 | −5.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | @ SAC | W 35-6 | −6 covered |
Head-to-head
These teams haven’t met in the last three seasons.
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Ball State | UMass | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 3-5 | 4-4 |
| Against the spread | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| As the favorite | 2-0 | 2-2 |
| As the underdog | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Over / under | 6 over · 2 under | 2 over · 6 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | −0.7 | +4.0 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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