Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipToledo vs Sacramento St Prediction
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · Hornet Stadium
SlipHound gives the Toledo a 94% chance to beat the Sacramento St.
The Toledo are a heavy favorite.
The Sacramento St come in at 2-7; the Toledo are 6-2.
The Toledo are 6-2 in their last 8 games.
The Sacramento St are 2-7 in their last 9 games.
The Toledo are 4-3-1 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 6 of their last 8.
The Sacramento St are 3-6 against the spread in their last 9 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 9.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
ToledoLast 8: 6-2WWLWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | vs WMU | W 45-38 | −2.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | @ EMU | W 34-14 | −7.5 covered |
| Oct 10 | vs BUFF | L 8-23 | −18.5 missed |
| Oct 3 | @ BALL | W 39-24 | −20.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | vs SDSU | W 41-16 | −2.5 covered |
Sacramento StLast 9: 2-7WLLLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | vs KENT | W 31-10 | +7.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ BALL | L 17-34 | +14.5 missed |
| Oct 17 | vs OHIO | L 7-48 | +17.5 missed |
| Oct 10 | @ BGSU | L 10-38 | +9.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | vs MASS | L 6-35 | +6 missed |
Head-to-head
These teams haven’t met in the last three seasons.
Betting trends
Last 9 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Toledo | Sacramento St | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 6-2 | 2-7 |
| Against the spread | 4-3-1 | 3-6 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 1-1-1 | 3-2 |
| As the favorite | 4-3 | 1-0 |
| As the underdog | 0-0-1 | 2-6 |
| Over / under | 6 over · 2 under | 3 over · 6 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +1.7 | −5.6 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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