Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipAvalanche vs Senators Prediction
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · Canadian Tire Centre
Every Avalanche vs Senators prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Avalanche vs Senators preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this a near coin flip that leans the Avalanche: the Avalanche win 52% of the time against the Senators. That’s on the road, so the model rates the Avalanche well enough to overcome playing away from home. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
The Avalanche are 5-5 over their last 10. Most recently they lost to the Predators 2-3 on Nov 5. In that stretch they scored 3.7 goals a game and allowed 3.4. They’ll have had 6 days off.
The Senators are 5-5 over their last 10. Most recently they beat the Sabres 2-1 on Nov 4. In that stretch they scored 3.3 goals a game and allowed 3.3. They’ll have had 7 days off.
Head-to-head
The Senators won the last meeting 5-2 on Jan 28. The Avalanche have won 3 of the last 4. Those games averaged 8.0 total goals.
Betting trends
The Avalanche are 6-4 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 8 of 10. Straight up they’re 5-4 as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs.
The Senators are 4-6 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 5 of 10. Straight up they’re 3-5 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Colorado Avalanche predictions · Ottawa Senators predictions · Head-to-head history · All NHL predictions
Injury report
Avalanche
- Josh Manson DOutleft ankle · expected back Dec 27 · updated Oct 30
- Zachary L'Heureux LWInjured Reserveupper body · expected back Nov 27 · updated Oct 23
Senators
- Ridly Greig COutlower body · expected back Nov 10 · updated Nov 6
- Linus Ullmark GInjured Reservelower body (strain) · expected back Nov 10 · updated Nov 6
- Andre Burakovsky LWInjured Reservelower body · expected back Nov 27 · updated Oct 31
- Warren Foegele LWInjured Reserveright knee · expected back Nov 25 · updated Oct 31
- William Eklund LWInjured Reserveankle · expected back Jan 5 · updated Oct 15
From the league injury report, checked every 15 minutes.
Recent form
AvalancheLast 10: 5-5LLWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NSH | L 2-3 | −1.5 missed |
| Nov 3 | @ CBJ | L 2-7 | −1.5 missed |
| Nov 2 | @ CHI | W 5-2 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | vs CGY | W 5-2 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | vs NJ | W 5-2 | −1.5 covered |
SenatorsLast 10: 5-5WLWLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ BUF | W 2-1 | +1.5 covered |
| Nov 1 | @ ANA | L 3-6 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 31 | @ SJ | W 5-1 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 29 | @ LA | L 5-6 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 27 | @ VGK | L 1-4 | +1.5 missed |
Head-to-head
Avalanche lead 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | at Senators | Senators 5 – 2 Avalanche |
| Jan 8, 2026 | at Avalanche | Senators 2 – 8 Avalanche |
| Mar 20, 2025 | at Senators | Senators 1 – 5 Avalanche |
| Oct 27, 2024 | at Avalanche | Senators 4 – 5 Avalanche |
Betting trends
Last 10 games · puck line and total are the closing lines.
| Avalanche | Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Against the puck line | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Puck line at home / on the road | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| As the favorite | 5-4 | 3-5 |
| As the underdog | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Over / under | 8 over · 2 under | 5 over · 5 under |
| Avg. margin vs puck line | −0.9 | −0.9 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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