Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipBlackhawks vs Lightning Prediction
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · Benchmark International Arena
SlipHound gives the Lightning a 69% chance to beat the Blackhawks.
The Lightning are a clear favorite.
The Lightning come in at 8-3-2 (6-0-0 at home); the Blackhawks are 4-9-1 (0-5-1 on the road).
The Blackhawks are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
The Lightning are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
The last 4 meetings are split 2-2.
The Blackhawks are 4-6 against the puck line in their last 10 games, and the over has hit in 4 of their last 10.
The Lightning are 5-5 against the puck line in their last 10 games, and the over has hit in 7 of their last 10.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
BlackhawksLast 10: 3-7LLWLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ BOS | L 4-5 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 29 | @ DET | L 1-4 | +1.5 missed |
| Oct 27 | vs LA | W 2-1 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 25 | vs FLA | L 2-3 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 23 | vs MTL | L 1-4 | +1.5 missed |
LightningLast 10: 6-4LWLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ NSH | L 4-5 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 29 | vs WPG | W 6-4 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ UTA | L 4-5 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 23 | @ COL | L 3-6 | +1.5 missed |
| Oct 20 | @ VGK | W 6-2 | +1.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Split 2-2 in the last 4 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | at Blackhawks | Lightning 2 – 1 Blackhawks |
| Oct 23, 2025 | at Lightning | Lightning 2 – 3 Blackhawks |
| Jan 28, 2025 | at Lightning | Lightning 1 – 4 Blackhawks |
| Jan 24, 2025 | at Blackhawks | Lightning 4 – 3 Blackhawks |
Betting trends
Last 10 games · puck line and total are the closing lines.
| Blackhawks | Lightning | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Against the puck line | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Puck line at home / on the road | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| As the favorite | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| As the underdog | 4-5 | 2-1 |
| Over / under | 4 over · 6 under | 7 over · 3 under |
| Avg. margin vs puck line | −0.2 | −0.2 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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