Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipCanadiens vs Bruins Prediction
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · TD Garden
Every Canadiens vs Bruins prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Canadiens vs Bruins preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this the Bruins as a modest favorite: the Bruins win 56% of the time against the Canadiens. The Bruins also have home ice, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
The Canadiens are 7-3 over their last 10. Most recently they beat the Mammoth 5-4 on Nov 5. In that stretch they scored 3.8 goals a game and allowed 2.9. They’ll have had 6 days off.
The Bruins are 7-3 over their last 10 and have won 3 straight. Most recently they beat the Penguins 6-2 on Nov 5. In that stretch they scored 3.8 goals a game and allowed 2.4. They’ll have had 6 days off.
Head-to-head
The Canadiens won the last meeting 3-2 on Mar 17. The last 6 meetings are split 3-3. Those games averaged 6.5 total goals.
Betting trends
The Canadiens are 5-5 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 7 of 10. Straight up they’re 2-5 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs.
The Bruins are 8-2 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 3 of 10. Straight up they’re 4-1 as favorites and 4-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Montreal Canadiens predictions · Boston Bruins predictions · Head-to-head history · All NHL predictions
Injury report
Canadiens
- Mike Matheson DOutlower body · expected back Nov 14 · updated Oct 31
- Ivan Demidov RWInjured Reserveright ankle (fracture) · expected back Nov 14 · updated Nov 4
- Sam Montembeault GInjured Reservelower body · expected back Nov 7 · updated Oct 31
- Bryce Pickford DInjured Reserveundisclosed · expected back Nov 30 · updated Sep 29
- Lucas Condotta LWInjured Reserveundisclosed · expected back Nov 30 · updated Sep 29
Bruins
- Matthew Poitras CDay-to-Daynose (fracture) · expected back Nov 8 · updated Nov 6
- James Hagens CDay-to-Dayback · expected back Nov 8 · updated Nov 5
From the league injury report, checked every 15 minutes.
Recent form
CanadiensLast 10: 7-3WLWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UTA | W 5-4 | +1.5 covered |
| Nov 3 | vs WPG | L 4-5 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 31 | vs PIT | W 5-4 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 29 | @ DAL | W 5-2 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 27 | @ STL | W 2-0 | −1.5 covered |
BruinsLast 10: 7-3WWWLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ PIT | W 6-2 | −1.5 covered |
| Nov 2 | vs VGK | W 3-2 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | vs CHI | W 5-4 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 29 | @ STL | L 1-4 | +1.5 missed |
| Oct 27 | @ CAR | L 1-2 | +1.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Split 3-3 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | at Canadiens | Bruins 2 – 3 Canadiens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | at Bruins | Bruins 4 – 3 Canadiens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | at Bruins | Bruins 2 – 6 Canadiens |
| Nov 15, 2025 | at Canadiens | Bruins 3 – 2 Canadiens |
| Apr 3, 2025 | at Canadiens | Bruins 1 – 4 Canadiens |
| Dec 1, 2024 | at Bruins | Bruins 6 – 3 Canadiens |
Betting trends
Last 10 games · puck line and total are the closing lines.
| Canadiens | Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Against the puck line | 5-5 | 8-2 |
| Puck line at home / on the road | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| As the favorite | 2-5 | 4-1 |
| As the underdog | 3-0 | 4-1 |
| Over / under | 7 over · 3 under | 3 over · 7 under |
| Avg. margin vs puck line | +0.3 | +1.4 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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