Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipLightning vs Blue Jackets Prediction
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · Nationwide Arena
Every Lightning vs Blue Jackets prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Lightning vs Blue Jackets preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this a near coin flip that leans the Blue Jackets: the Blue Jackets win 51% of the time against the Lightning. The Blue Jackets also have home ice, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
The Lightning are 6-4 over their last 10. Most recently they beat the Blackhawks 4-1 on Nov 5. In that stretch they scored 4.0 goals a game and allowed 3.4. They’ll have had 6 days off.
The Blue Jackets are 5-5 over their last 10. Most recently they beat the Stars 2-1 on Nov 5. In that stretch they scored 2.5 goals a game and allowed 2.8. They’ll have had 6 days off.
Head-to-head
The Blue Jackets won the last meeting 5-2 on Mar 10. The Blue Jackets have won 4 of the last 6. Those games averaged 9.0 total goals.
Betting trends
The Lightning are 6-4 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 6 of 10. Straight up they’re 4-3 as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs.
The Blue Jackets are 5-5 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 4 of 10. Straight up they’re 0-4 as favorites and 5-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Tampa Bay Lightning predictions · Columbus Blue Jackets predictions · Head-to-head history · All NHL predictions
Injury report
Lightning
- Yanni Gourde CInjured Reservehip (surgery) · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 4
Blue Jackets
No injuries listed.
From the league injury report, checked every 15 minutes.
Recent form
LightningLast 10: 6-4WWLWL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs CHI | W 4-1 | −1.5 covered |
| Nov 3 | vs DET | W 4-2 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | @ NSH | L 4-5 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 29 | vs WPG | W 6-4 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ UTA | L 4-5 | +1.5 covered |
Blue JacketsLast 10: 5-5WWLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs DAL | W 2-1 | +1.5 covered |
| Nov 3 | vs COL | W 7-2 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | @ DAL | L 1-3 | +1.5 missed |
| Oct 29 | @ CAR | L 2-3 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 27 | @ PHI | W 4-3 | −1.5 missed |
Head-to-head
Blue Jackets lead 4-2 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | at Lightning | Blue Jackets 5 – 2 Lightning |
| Jan 24, 2026 | at Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets 8 – 5 Lightning |
| Oct 18, 2025 | at Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets 3 – 2 Lightning |
| Mar 4, 2025 | at Lightning | Blue Jackets 2 – 6 Lightning |
| Dec 17, 2024 | at Lightning | Blue Jackets 3 – 5 Lightning |
| Nov 21, 2024 | at Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets 7 – 6 Lightning |
Betting trends
Last 10 games · puck line and total are the closing lines.
| Lightning | Blue Jackets | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Against the puck line | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Puck line at home / on the road | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| As the favorite | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| As the underdog | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Over / under | 6 over · 4 under | 4 over · 6 under |
| Avg. margin vs puck line | 0.0 | 0.0 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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Our models are built from years of results and box scores — team and player strength, pace, rest, travel and recent form — and tested against real sportsbook prices before they go live. Win chances are updated as new results come in.