Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipWild vs Maple Leafs Prediction
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · Scotiabank Arena
Every Wild vs Maple Leafs prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Wild vs Maple Leafs preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this the Wild as a modest favorite: the Wild win 58% of the time against the Maple Leafs. That’s on the road, so the model rates the Wild well enough to overcome playing away from home. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
The Wild are 7-3 over their last 10. Most recently they beat the Flyers 4-2 on Nov 3. In that stretch they scored 3.5 goals a game and allowed 2.2. They’ll have had 8 days off.
The Maple Leafs are 5-5 over their last 10. Most recently they lost to the Mammoth 2-3 on Nov 3. In that stretch they scored 3.8 goals a game and allowed 3.3. They’ll have had 8 days off.
Head-to-head
The Maple Leafs won the last meeting 4-2 on Mar 15. The Wild have won 3 of the last 4. Those games averaged 5.5 total goals.
Betting trends
The Wild are 6-4 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 4 of 10. Straight up they’re 4-4 as favorites and 2-0 as underdogs.
The Maple Leafs are 6-4 against the puck line in their last 10, and the over hit in 6 of 10. Straight up they’re 2-4 as favorites and 4-0 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Minnesota Wild predictions · Toronto Maple Leafs predictions · Head-to-head history · All NHL predictions
Injury report
Wild
- Nick Foligno LWInjured Reserveupper body · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 6
- Marcus Foligno LWInjured Reservelower body · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 6
- Filip Gustavsson GInjured Reservehip (surgery) · expected back Nov 19 · updated Nov 5
- Jared Spurgeon DInjured Reservelower body · expected back Nov 10 · updated Nov 5
- Brock Faber DInjured Reserveskull (surgery) · expected back Nov 10 · updated Nov 5
Maple Leafs
- John Tavares CInjured Reservelower body · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 4
- Kirill Marchenko RWInjured Reservelower body · expected back Nov 17 · updated Oct 29
- Miles Wood LWInjured Reserveundisclosed · expected back Nov 7 · updated Oct 28
- Nick Blankenburg DInjured Reserveupper body · expected back Nov 12 · updated Oct 23
- Marshall Rifai DInjured Reservelower body · expected back Nov 8 · updated Oct 22
- Max Domi CInjured Reserveback (surgery) · expected back Jan 30 · updated Sep 30
- Cade Webber DInjured Reserveelbow · expected back Nov 27 · updated Sep 29
- Elvis Merzlikins GInjured Reserveshoulder (surgery) · expected back Mar 30 · updated Sep 29
- William Villeneuve DInjured Reserveknee (surgery) · expected back Dec 5 · updated Sep 29
From the league injury report, checked every 15 minutes.
Recent form
WildLast 10: 7-3WWLWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PHI | W 4-2 | −1.5 covered |
| Nov 1 | @ WSH | W 5-1 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 29 | vs NYI | L 3-4 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 27 | @ UTA | W 3-1 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 25 | @ VAN | W 4-2 | −1.5 covered |
Maple LeafsLast 10: 5-5LWLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UTA | L 2-3 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | @ VAN | W 4-2 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | @ SEA | L 4-5 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 26 | @ CGY | L 2-5 | −1.5 missed |
| Oct 24 | @ EDM | W 7-2 | +1.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Wild lead 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | at Wild | Maple Leafs 4 – 2 Wild |
| Jan 19, 2026 | at Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs 3 – 6 Wild |
| Jan 29, 2025 | at Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs 1 – 3 Wild |
| Nov 3, 2024 | at Wild | Maple Leafs 1 – 2 Wild |
Betting trends
Last 10 games · puck line and total are the closing lines.
| Wild | Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Against the puck line | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Puck line at home / on the road | 6-1 | 3-2 |
| As the favorite | 4-4 | 2-4 |
| As the underdog | 2-0 | 4-0 |
| Over / under | 4 over · 6 under | 6 over · 4 under |
| Avg. margin vs puck line | +0.4 | +0.2 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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