Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipCavaliers vs Heat Prediction
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST · Kaseya Center
Every Cavaliers vs Heat prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Cavaliers vs Heat preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this the Cavaliers as a modest favorite: the Cavaliers win 63% of the time against the Heat. That’s on the road, so the model rates the Cavaliers well enough to overcome playing away from home. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 4-4 over their last 8. Most recently they lost to the Thunder 116-124 on Nov 4. In that stretch they scored 119 points a game and allowed 117. They’ll have had 8 days off.
The Heat are 3-6 over their last 9. Most recently they lost to the Warriors 100-120 on Nov 5. In that stretch they scored 116 points a game and allowed 123. They’ll have had 7 days off.
Head-to-head
The Cavaliers won the last meeting 149-128 on Mar 27. The Cavaliers have won 4 of the last 6. Those games averaged 246 total points.
Betting trends
The Cavaliers are 2-6 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 4 of 8. Straight up they’re 2-3 as favorites and 0-3 as underdogs.
The Heat are 2-7 against the spread in their last 9, and the over hit in 4 of 9. Straight up they’re 1-4 as favorites and 1-3 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Cleveland Cavaliers predictions · Miami Heat predictions · Head-to-head history · All NBA predictions
Injury report
Cavaliers
- Jarrett Allen COutright knee · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 6
- Jaylon Tyson GOutright ankle (sprain) · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 5
Heat
No injuries listed.
From the league injury report, checked every 15 minutes. Our model already removes players listed out from each team’s lineup.
Recent form
CavaliersLast 8: 4-4LLWLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ OKC | L 116-124 | +3.5 missed |
| Nov 2 | vs OKC | L 112-117 | −4.5 missed |
| Oct 31 | @ MIL | W 136-111 | −8.5 covered |
| Oct 29 | @ ATL | L 111-114 | +1.5 missed |
| Oct 28 | vs WSH | W 121-111 | −9.5 covered |
HeatLast 9: 3-6LWLWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ GS | L 100-120 | +3.5 missed |
| Nov 4 | @ LAC | W 117-116 | −6.5 missed |
| Nov 2 | @ LAL | L 117-138 | +1.5 missed |
| Oct 30 | vs IND | W 145-125 | −8.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | @ ATL | W 129-117 | +2.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Cavaliers lead 4-2 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | at Cavaliers | Heat 128 – 149 Cavaliers |
| Mar 25, 2026 | at Cavaliers | Heat 120 – 103 Cavaliers |
| Nov 12, 2025 | at Heat | Heat 116 – 130 Cavaliers |
| Nov 10, 2025 | at Heat | Heat 140 – 138 Cavaliers |
| Mar 5, 2025 | at Cavaliers | Heat 107 – 112 Cavaliers |
| Jan 29, 2025 | at Heat | Heat 106 – 126 Cavaliers |
Betting trends
Last 9 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Cavaliers | Heat | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 4-4 | 3-6 |
| Against the spread | 2-6 | 2-7 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| As the favorite | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| As the underdog | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Over / under | 4 over · 4 under | 4 over · 5 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | −1.6 | −8.6 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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