Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipNew Mexico vs Nevada Prediction
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 9:00 PM EST · Mackay Stadium
SlipHound gives the New Mexico a 75% chance to beat the Nevada.
The New Mexico are a clear favorite.
The Nevada come in at 3-5; the New Mexico are 7-1.
The New Mexico are 7-1 in their last 8 games, and have won 5 straight.
The Nevada are 3-5 in their last 8 games.
The New Mexico won the last meeting, 24-22.
The New Mexico are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 8.
The Nevada are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 8.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
New MexicoLast 8: 7-1WWWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ SJSU | W 21-16 | −15.5 missed |
| Oct 24 | vs NDSU | W 21-16 | −4.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | @ HAW | W 21-10 | −14.5 missed |
| Oct 3 | vs UTEP | W 61-7 | −23.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | @ NMSU | W 42-18 | −11.5 covered |
NevadaLast 8: 3-5LWLWL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ UCLA | L 0-27 | +22.5 missed |
| Oct 24 | vs SJSU | W 28-13 | −6 covered |
| Oct 17 | @ NDSU | L 17-31 | +14.5 covered |
| Oct 10 | @ UTEP | W 30-13 | −10 covered |
| Sep 26 | vs AFA | L 33-36 | +4.5 covered |
Head-to-head
New Mexico lead 1-0 in the last 1 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | at New Mexico | Nevada 22 – 24 New Mexico |
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| New Mexico | Nevada | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 7-1 | 3-5 |
| Against the spread | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| As the favorite | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| As the underdog | 1-0 | 3-2 |
| Over / under | 3 over · 5 under | 3 over · 5 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +10.4 | +3.9 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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