Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipMavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST · Target Center
Every Mavericks vs Timberwolves prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Mavericks vs Timberwolves preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this the Timberwolves as a clear favorite: the Timberwolves win 78% of the time against the Mavericks. The Timberwolves also have home court, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
The Mavericks are 4-4 over their last 8. Most recently they lost to the Spurs 111-112 on Nov 4. In that stretch they scored 112 points a game and allowed 112. They’ll have had 7 days off.
The Timberwolves are 6-3 over their last 9. Most recently they beat the Rockets 117-107 on Nov 4. In that stretch they scored 119 points a game and allowed 108. They’ll have had 7 days off.
Head-to-head
The Timberwolves won the last meeting 124-94 on Mar 30. The Timberwolves have won 6 of the last 6. Those games averaged 221 total points.
Betting trends
The Mavericks are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 2 of 8. Straight up they’re 0-1 as favorites and 5-2 as underdogs.
The Timberwolves are 8-1 against the spread in their last 9, and the over hit in 5 of 9. Straight up they’re 3-1 as favorites and 5-0 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Dallas Mavericks predictions · Minnesota Timberwolves predictions · Head-to-head history · All NBA predictions
Injury report
Mavericks
- Sergio de Larrea FOutright knee (strain) · expected back Nov 12 · updated Nov 5
- Santi Aldama FOutright knee (surgery) · expected back Nov 6 · updated Nov 5
- Tarik Biberovic FOutright heel (inflammation) · expected back Nov 12 · updated Nov 1
- Dereck Lively II COutright foot (surgery) · expected back Nov 12 · updated Nov 1
- Kyrie Irving GDay-to-Dayillness · expected back Nov 6 · updated Nov 6
- Max Christie GDay-to-Dayright hip · expected back Nov 6 · updated Nov 5
Timberwolves
- Terrence Shannon Jr. GOutleft hip (bruise) · expected back Nov 8 · updated Nov 6
- Anthony Edwards GOutright knee (surgery) · expected back Dec 21 · updated Oct 29
- Donte DiVincenzo GOutright achilles (surgery) · expected back Apr 2 · updated Oct 5
From the league injury report, checked every 15 minutes. Our model already removes players listed out from each team’s lineup.
Recent form
MavericksLast 8: 4-4LLWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SA | L 111-112 | +12.5 covered |
| Nov 2 | vs SAC | L 100-115 | −7.5 missed |
| Oct 30 | vs HOU | W 116-111 | +5.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | vs OKC | W 120-96 | +4.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | @ MIA | W 113-109 | +7.5 covered |
TimberwolvesLast 9: 6-3WWLWL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ HOU | W 117-107 | +7.5 covered |
| Nov 2 | vs MIL | W 112-100 | −11.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | @ SA | L 111-121 | +12.5 covered |
| Oct 30 | vs LAC | W 127-101 | −6.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | vs GS | L 114-119 | −3.5 missed |
Head-to-head
Timberwolves lead 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | at Mavericks | Timberwolves 124 – 94 Mavericks |
| Feb 20, 2026 | at Timberwolves | Timberwolves 122 – 111 Mavericks |
| Jan 28, 2026 | at Mavericks | Timberwolves 118 – 105 Mavericks |
| Nov 17, 2025 | at Timberwolves | Timberwolves 120 – 96 Mavericks |
| Jan 22, 2025 | at Mavericks | Timberwolves 115 – 114 Mavericks |
| Dec 25, 2024 | at Mavericks | Timberwolves 105 – 99 Mavericks |
Betting trends
Last 9 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Mavericks | Timberwolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 4-4 | 6-3 |
| Against the spread | 5-3 | 8-1 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| As the favorite | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| As the underdog | 5-2 | 5-0 |
| Over / under | 2 over · 6 under | 5 over · 4 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +6.6 | +11.4 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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Our models are built from years of results and box scores — team and player strength, pace, rest, travel and recent form — and tested against real sportsbook prices before they go live. Win chances are updated as new results come in.