Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipBuffalo vs Ball State Prediction
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST · Scheumann Stadium
SlipHound gives the Buffalo a 56% chance to beat the Ball State.
The Buffalo are a modest favorite.
The Ball State come in at 3-5; the Buffalo are 6-3.
The Buffalo are 6-3 in their last 9 games, and have won 4 straight.
The Ball State are 3-5 in their last 8 games.
The Buffalo won the last meeting, 51-48.
The Buffalo are 5-4 against the spread in their last 9 games, and the over has hit in 5 of their last 9.
The Ball State are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 6 of their last 8.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
BuffaloLast 9: 6-3WWWWL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ M-OH | W 34-31 | +6.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | vs BGSU | W 31-24 | −3 covered |
| Oct 17 | vs MASS | W 25-18 | −6.5 covered |
| Oct 10 | @ TOL | W 23-8 | +18.5 covered |
| Oct 3 | vs WMU | L 17-20 | +13.5 covered |
Ball StateLast 8: 3-5WWLLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | vs SAC | W 34-17 | −14.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | @ BGSU | W 32-31 | +6 covered |
| Oct 10 | @ NU | L 14-45 | +34.5 covered |
| Oct 3 | vs TOL | L 24-39 | +20.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | @ KENT | L 13-26 | +2.5 missed |
Head-to-head
Buffalo lead 1-0 in the last 1 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | at Buffalo | Ball State 48 – 51 Buffalo |
Betting trends
Last 9 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Buffalo | Ball State | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 6-3 | 3-5 |
| Against the spread | 5-4 | 5-3 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-2 | 3-0 |
| As the favorite | 2-2 | 2-0 |
| As the underdog | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Over / under | 5 over · 4 under | 6 over · 2 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +1.3 | −0.7 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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