Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipDuke vs NC State Prediction
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:30 PM EST · Carter-Finley Stadium
SlipHound gives the Duke a 55% chance to beat the NC State.
The Duke are a modest favorite.
The NC State come in at 4-4; the Duke are 6-2.
The Duke are 6-2 in their last 8 games.
The NC State are 4-4 in their last 8 games.
The Duke have won 2 of the last 2 meetings.
The Duke are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 8.
The NC State are 3-5 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 5 of their last 8.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
DukeLast 8: 6-2WWLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs BC | W 47-2 | −7 covered |
| Oct 23 | @ UVA | W 19-16 | +2.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | vs UNC | L 20-24 | −3 missed |
| Oct 10 | @ GT | L 25-28 | −4.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | vs W&M | W 62-7 | −43.5 covered |
NC StateLast 8: 4-4WLLWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs CAL | W 31-10 | −9.5 covered |
| Oct 23 | @ STAN | L 28-31 | −7.5 missed |
| Oct 10 | vs WAKE | L 14-38 | +4 missed |
| Oct 3 | vs LOU | W 31-28 | +5.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | vs APP | W 41-31 | −12.5 missed |
Head-to-head
Duke lead 2-0 in the last 2 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | at Duke | NC State 33 – 45 Duke |
| Nov 9, 2024 | at NC State | NC State 19 – 29 Duke |
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Duke | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 6-2 | 4-4 |
| Against the spread | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| As the favorite | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| As the underdog | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Over / under | 3 over · 5 under | 5 over · 3 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +9.2 | +0.4 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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