The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipIowa State vs Baylor Prediction
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM EST · McLane Stadium
SlipHound gives the Baylor a 65% chance to beat the Iowa State.
The Baylor are a clear favorite.
The Baylor come in at 5-3; the Iowa State are 4-4.
The Iowa State are 4-4 in their last 8 games.
The Baylor are 5-3 in their last 8 games.
The Iowa State won the last meeting, 43-21.
The Iowa State are 3-4-1 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 4 of their last 8.
The Baylor are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 3 of their last 8.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs OKST | W 51-49 | +10 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ ARIZ | L 3-39 | +11.5 missed |
| Oct 9 | @ BYU | L 10-24 | +11.5 missed |
| Oct 3 | vs WVU | W 45-42 | −3 push |
| Sep 26 | vs UTAH | L 17-31 | +7.5 missed |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | @ UCF | W 41-9 | −2.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ KU | L 24-25 | +1.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | vs TCU | L 6-17 | −3.5 missed |
| Oct 3 | @ ASU | W 55-19 | +3.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | vs COLO | W 23-13 | −8.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Iowa State lead 1-0 in the last 1 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | at Iowa State | Baylor 21 – 43 Iowa State |
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Iowa State | Baylor | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Against the spread | 3-4-1 | 6-2 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| As the favorite | 1-1-1 | 3-2 |
| As the underdog | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Over / under | 4 over · 4 under | 3 over · 5 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +1.7 | +7.8 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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How SlipHound predicts games
Our models are built from years of results and box scores — team and player strength, pace, rest, travel and recent form — and tested against real sportsbook prices before they go live. Win chances are updated as new results come in.

