Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipWarriors vs Rockets Prediction
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 9:30 PM EST · Toyota Center (Houston)
SlipHound gives the Rockets a 65–75% chance to beat the Warriors. Members see the exact number and whether the price is worth betting.
The Rockets are a clear favorite.
The Rockets come in at 7-2 (4-1 at home); the Warriors are 5-3 (2-2 on the road).
The Warriors are 5-3 in their last 8 games, and have won 5 straight.
The Rockets are 7-1 in their last 8 games.
The Rockets have won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
The Warriors are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 5 of their last 8.
The Rockets are 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games, and the over has hit in 5 of their last 8.
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Recent form
WarriorsLast 8: 5-3WWWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs PHX | W 116-113 | −2.5 covered |
| Nov 1 | vs LAC | W 124-112 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 30 | vs LAL | W 112-95 | +2.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | @ MIN | W 119-114 | +3.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | @ DEN | W 134-114 | +6.5 covered |
RocketsLast 8: 7-1WWLWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs BOS | W 109-93 | −4.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | vs OKC | W 119-98 | −2.5 covered |
| Oct 30 | @ DAL | L 111-116 | −5.5 missed |
| Oct 28 | @ MIL | W 132-100 | −8.5 covered |
| Oct 26 | vs ATL | W 120-110 | −4.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Rockets lead 4-2 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | at Warriors | Rockets 117 – 116 Warriors |
| Mar 5, 2026 | at Rockets | Rockets 113 – 115 Warriors |
| Nov 26, 2025 | at Warriors | Rockets 104 – 100 Warriors |
| Apr 6, 2025 | at Warriors | Rockets 106 – 96 Warriors |
| Feb 13, 2025 | at Rockets | Rockets 98 – 105 Warriors |
| Dec 11, 2024 | at Rockets | Rockets 91 – 90 Warriors |
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Warriors | Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 5-3 | 7-1 |
| Against the spread | 6-2 | 7-1 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| As the favorite | 2-1 | 6-1 |
| As the underdog | 4-1 | 1-0 |
| Over / under | 5 over · 3 under | 5 over · 3 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +5.4 | +8.9 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
Unlock with membershipTotal (over/under)
Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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Our models are built from years of results and box scores — team and player strength, pace, rest, travel and recent form — and tested against real sportsbook prices before they go live. Win chances are updated as new results come in.