Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipWarriors vs Spurs Prediction
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 9:30 PM EST · Frost Bank Center
Every Warriors vs Spurs prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Warriors vs Spurs preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this the Spurs as a clear favorite: the Spurs win 73% of the time against the Warriors. The Spurs also have home court, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
The Warriors are 6-3 over their last 9 and have won 6 straight. Most recently they beat the Heat 120-100 on Nov 5. In that stretch they scored 118 points a game and allowed 113. They’ll have had 7 days off.
The Spurs are 6-2 over their last 8 and have won 6 straight. Most recently they beat the Mavericks 112-111 on Nov 4. In that stretch they scored 117 points a game and allowed 109. They’ll have had 8 days off.
Head-to-head
The Spurs won the last meeting 127-113 on Apr 1. The last 6 meetings are split 3-3. Those games averaged 237 total points.
Betting trends
The Warriors are 7-2 against the spread in their last 9, and the over hit in 5 of 9. Straight up they’re 3-1 as favorites and 4-1 as underdogs.
The Spurs are 3-5 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 2 of 8. Straight up they’re 3-4 as favorites and 0-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Golden State Warriors predictions · San Antonio Spurs predictions · Head-to-head history · All NBA predictions
Injury report
Warriors
- Kristaps Porzingis COutillness · expected back Jan 2 · updated Nov 6
- Moses Moody GOutleft knee (surgery) · expected back Dec 1 · updated Oct 16
- Jimmy Butler III FOutright knee (surgery) · expected back Jan 2 · updated Oct 16
- Draymond Green FDay-to-Dayright elbow (inflammation) · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 6
- Gary Payton II GDay-to-Dayright calf · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 6
- Gui Santos FDay-to-Dayknee · expected back Nov 7 · updated Nov 6
Spurs
- Tobias Harris FOutleft calf (strain) · expected back Nov 9 · updated Oct 30
- Jayden Quaintance FOutright knee (surgery) · expected back Dec 3 · updated Oct 5
From the league injury report, checked every 15 minutes. Our model already removes players listed out from each team’s lineup.
Recent form
WarriorsLast 9: 6-3WWWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs MIA | W 120-100 | −3.5 covered |
| Nov 2 | vs PHX | W 116-113 | −2.5 covered |
| Nov 1 | vs LAC | W 124-112 | −1.5 covered |
| Oct 30 | vs LAL | W 112-95 | +2.5 covered |
| Oct 28 | @ MIN | W 119-114 | +3.5 covered |
SpursLast 8: 6-2WWWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DAL | W 112-111 | −12.5 missed |
| Nov 2 | vs UTAH | W 119-97 | −16.5 covered |
| Oct 31 | vs MIN | W 121-111 | −12.5 missed |
| Oct 28 | @ UTAH | W 117-111 | −13.5 missed |
| Oct 27 | vs SAC | W 130-103 | −19.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Split 3-3 in the last 6 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | at Warriors | Spurs 127 – 113 Warriors |
| Feb 11, 2026 | at Warriors | Spurs 126 – 113 Warriors |
| Nov 14, 2025 | at Spurs | Spurs 108 – 109 Warriors |
| Nov 12, 2025 | at Spurs | Spurs 120 – 125 Warriors |
| Apr 9, 2025 | at Warriors | Spurs 114 – 111 Warriors |
| Mar 30, 2025 | at Spurs | Spurs 106 – 148 Warriors |
Betting trends
Last 9 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Warriors | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Against the spread | 7-2 | 3-5 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| As the favorite | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| As the underdog | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Over / under | 5 over · 4 under | 2 over · 6 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +6.6 | −3.3 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
Unlock with membershipTotal (over/under)
Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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Bets where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s price, with the expected return.
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Projections and hit rates for every player prop line on this game.
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