Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipFlorida St vs Pitt Prediction
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST · Acrisure Stadium
Every Florida St vs Pitt prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Florida St vs Pitt preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this Pitt as a clear favorite: Pitt win 66% of the time against Florida St. Pitt also have home field, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
Florida St are 3-5 over their last 8 and have lost 3 straight. Most recently they lost to Clemson 24-36 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 31 points a game and allowed 29.
Pitt are 6-3 over their last 9. Most recently they beat Georgia Tech 34-11 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 32 points a game and allowed 20.
Head-to-head
Pitt won the last meeting 34-31 on Oct 11.
Betting trends
Florida St are 3-4-1 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 4 of 8. Straight up they’re 0-3 as favorites and 3-1 as underdogs.
Pitt are 5-4 against the spread in their last 9, and the over hit in 4 of 9. Straight up they’re 4-3 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Florida State Seminoles predictions · Pittsburgh Panthers predictions · Head-to-head history · All College Football predictions
Recent form
Florida StLast 8: 3-5LLLWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs CLEM | L 24-36 | −4.5 missed |
| Oct 17 | @ MIA | L 35-43 | +20.5 covered |
| Oct 9 | @ LOU | L 20-44 | +4 missed |
| Oct 3 | vs UVA | W 38-7 | +1.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | vs CARK | W 34-7 | −45.5 missed |
PittLast 9: 6-3WLLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs GT | W 34-11 | −9.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ MIA | L 23-52 | +20.5 missed |
| Oct 17 | @ BC | L 21-27 | −6.5 missed |
| Oct 10 | vs UNC | L 17-21 | −3.5 missed |
| Oct 2 | @ VT | W 35-33 | +1.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Pitt lead 1-0 in the last 1 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | at Florida St | Pitt 34 – 31 Florida St |
Betting trends
Last 9 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Florida St | Pitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 3-5 | 6-3 |
| Against the spread | 3-4-1 | 5-4 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| As the favorite | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| As the underdog | 3-1-1 | 1-1 |
| Over / under | 4 over · 4 under | 4 over · 5 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | −2.4 | +2.5 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
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