Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipFlorida vs Kentucky Prediction
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST · Kroger Field
Every Florida vs Kentucky prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Florida vs Kentucky preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this Kentucky as a modest favorite: Kentucky win 56% of the time against Florida. Kentucky also have home field, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
Florida are 5-3 over their last 8. Most recently they lost to Georgia 8-27 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 36 points a game and allowed 28.
Kentucky are 7-1 over their last 8 and have won 6 straight. Most recently they beat Vanderbilt 34-17 on Oct 24. In that stretch they scored 33 points a game and allowed 25.
Head-to-head
Kentucky won the last meeting 38-7 on Nov 8. The last 2 meetings are split 1-1. Those games averaged 57 total points.
Betting trends
Florida are 4-4 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 4 of 8. Straight up they’re 3-3 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs.
Kentucky are 7-1 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 5 of 8. Straight up they’re 3-0 as favorites and 4-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Florida Gators predictions · Kentucky Wildcats predictions · Head-to-head history · All College Football predictions
Recent form
FloridaLast 8: 5-3LWLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ UGA | L 8-27 | +11.5 missed |
| Oct 17 | @ TEX | W 27-24 | +13.5 covered |
| Oct 10 | vs SC | L 19-38 | −10.5 missed |
| Oct 3 | @ MIZ | L 17-45 | −5.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | vs MISS | W 52-28 | −4 covered |
KentuckyLast 8: 7-1WWWWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | vs VAN | W 34-17 | −9.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | @ OU | W 21-13 | +7 covered |
| Oct 10 | vs LSU | W 35-34 | +9.5 covered |
| Oct 3 | @ SC | W 35-34 | +2.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | vs USA | W 45-21 | −20.5 covered |
Head-to-head
Split 1-1 in the last 2 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | at Kentucky | Kentucky 38 – 7 Florida |
| Oct 19, 2024 | at Florida | Kentucky 20 – 48 Florida |
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Florida | Kentucky | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 5-3 | 7-1 |
| Against the spread | 4-4 | 7-1 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| As the favorite | 3-3 | 3-0 |
| As the underdog | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Over / under | 4 over · 4 under | 5 over · 3 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | −1.9 | +7.2 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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