Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipLouisville vs North Carolina Prediction
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST · Kenan Stadium
Every Louisville vs North Carolina prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Louisville vs North Carolina preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this Louisville as a modest favorite: Louisville win 56% of the time against North Carolina. That’s on the road, so the model rates Louisville well enough to overcome playing away from home. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
Louisville are 5-3 over their last 8 and have won 3 straight. Most recently they beat Stanford 52-24 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 40 points a game and allowed 27.
North Carolina are 4-4 over their last 8. Most recently they lost to Miami 35-38 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 26 points a game and allowed 23.
Betting trends
Louisville are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 7 of 8. Straight up they’re 4-3 as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs.
North Carolina are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 4 of 8. Straight up they’re 0-2 as favorites and 5-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Louisville Cardinals predictions · North Carolina Tar Heels predictions · Head-to-head history · All College Football predictions
Recent form
LouisvilleLast 8: 5-3WWWLL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs STAN | W 52-24 | −22.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | @ SYR | W 34-26 | −14.5 missed |
| Oct 9 | vs FSU | W 44-20 | −4 covered |
| Oct 3 | @ NCSU | L 28-31 | −5.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | vs WAKE | L 27-30 | −11.5 missed |
North CarolinaLast 8: 4-4LLWWL
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs MIA | L 35-38 | +13.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | vs SYR | L 30-31 | −7.5 missed |
| Oct 17 | @ DUKE | W 24-20 | +3 covered |
| Oct 10 | @ PITT | W 21-17 | +3.5 covered |
| Oct 3 | vs ND | L 26-37 | +21 covered |
Head-to-head
These teams haven’t met in the last three seasons.
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Louisville | North Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Against the spread | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| As the favorite | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| As the underdog | 1-0 | 5-1 |
| Over / under | 7 over · 1 under | 4 over · 4 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +1.6 | +3.7 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
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Over or under the posted total, with the model’s projected total.
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