Projected final score
The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipMemphis vs South Florida Prediction
Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST · Raymond James Stadium
Every Memphis vs South Florida prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Memphis vs South Florida preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this a near coin flip that leans South Florida: South Florida win 51% of the time against Memphis. South Florida also have home field, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
Memphis are 7-2 over their last 9. Most recently they beat Army 49-22 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 38 points a game and allowed 24.
South Florida are 6-2 over their last 8. Most recently they beat UAB 30-10 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 27 points a game and allowed 15.
Head-to-head
Memphis won the last meeting 34-31 on Oct 25. Memphis have won 2 of the last 2. Those games averaged 45 total points.
Betting trends
Memphis are 5-4 against the spread in their last 9, and the over hit in 6 of 9. Straight up they’re 4-3 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs.
South Florida are 4-4 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 3 of 8. Straight up they’re 3-3 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Memphis Tigers predictions · South Florida Bulls predictions · Head-to-head history · All College Football predictions
Recent form
MemphisLast 9: 7-2WWLWW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs ARMY | W 49-22 | −6 covered |
| Oct 22 | vs ECU | W 41-34 | −10.5 missed |
| Oct 16 | @ TULN | L 17-31 | −6.5 missed |
| Oct 10 | vs UAB | W 38-13 | −15.5 covered |
| Oct 3 | @ CLT | W 59-8 | −18.5 covered |
South FloridaLast 8: 6-2WWLLW
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs UAB | W 30-10 | −7.5 covered |
| Oct 17 | vs KENT | W 29-2 | −20.5 covered |
| Oct 8 | @ UTSA | L 24-31 | +5.5 missed |
| Oct 3 | vs TEM | L 13-17 | −5.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | @ BGSU | W 14-6 | −17.5 missed |
Head-to-head
Memphis lead 2-0 in the last 2 meetings.
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | at Memphis | South Florida 31 – 34 Memphis |
| Oct 12, 2024 | at South Florida | South Florida 3 – 21 Memphis |
Betting trends
Last 9 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Memphis | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 7-2 | 6-2 |
| Against the spread | 5-4 | 4-4 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| As the favorite | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| As the underdog | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Over / under | 6 over · 3 under | 3 over · 5 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +4.3 | +0.7 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Spread
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