The model’s predicted score for both sides.
Unlock with membershipPurdue vs Iowa Prediction
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST · Kinnick Stadium
Every Purdue vs Iowa prediction & result →
Members also see the projected final score, our model’s spread and total numbers, the best player props and every bet where the model’s odds beat the sportsbook’s.
Purdue vs Iowa preview
Our prediction
Our model makes this Iowa as a heavy favorite: Iowa win 92% of the time against Purdue. Iowa also have home field, which the model counts. Whether that makes a good bet depends on the price, and that comparison is what members get.
Recent form
Purdue are 3-5 over their last 8. Most recently they lost to Penn State 17-31 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 30 points a game and allowed 32.
Iowa are 6-2 over their last 8. Most recently they beat Wisconsin 30-0 on Oct 31. In that stretch they scored 28 points a game and allowed 13.
Betting trends
Purdue are 3-5 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 6 of 8. Straight up they’re 0-2 as favorites and 3-3 as underdogs.
Iowa are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8, and the over hit in 2 of 8. Straight up they’re 3-2 as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs.
Trends describe the past. Our model weighs them with everything else; on their own they rarely predict the next game.
Purdue Boilermakers predictions · Iowa Hawkeyes predictions · Head-to-head history · All College Football predictions
Recent form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ PSU | L 17-31 | +10 missed |
| Oct 16 | vs WASH | L 26-38 | −3 missed |
| Oct 10 | vs MINN | W 41-13 | +2.5 covered |
| Oct 3 | @ ILL | W 24-17 | +9.5 covered |
| Sep 26 | vs ND | L 10-49 | +27.5 missed |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs WIS | W 30-0 | −2.5 covered |
| Oct 24 | @ MINN | L 10-13 | −7.5 missed |
| Oct 9 | @ WASH | W 41-24 | +3 covered |
| Oct 3 | vs OSU | L 14-31 | +14.5 missed |
| Sep 26 | @ MICH | W 20-19 | +4.5 covered |
Head-to-head
These teams haven’t met in the last three seasons.
Betting trends
Last 8 games · spread and total are the closing lines.
| Purdue | Iowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Straight up | 3-5 | 6-2 |
| Against the spread | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Spread at home / on the road | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| As the favorite | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| As the underdog | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Over / under | 6 over · 2 under | 2 over · 6 under |
| Avg. margin vs spread | +0.8 | +6.9 |
“At home / on the road” uses each team’s side of this game. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.
Members-only picks for this game
Our model’s line and cover chance next to the sportsbook’s spread.
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Our models are built from years of results and box scores — team and player strength, pace, rest, travel and recent form — and tested against real sportsbook prices before they go live. Win chances are updated as new results come in.

