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Get startedMLB season forecast 2027
Where every team is headed: the current record, the pace it’s on over a 162-game season, a projection from scoring margin (which predicts future results better than record alone), and how many games our model expects each team to win in the next seven days.
American League
| Team | Record | Margin / game | Win pace | Margin projection | Next 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tampa Bay Rays | 98-64 | +0.5 | 98.0 W | 98.0 W | — |
 New York Yankees | 93-68 | +0.9 | 93.6 W | 93.6 W | — |
 Boston Red Sox | 87-75 | +0.5 | 87.0 W | 87.0 W | — |
 Cleveland Guardians | 85-77 | +0.1 | 85.0 W | 85.0 W | — |
 Chicago White Sox | 84-78 | +0.3 | 84.0 W | 84.0 W | — |
 Houston Astros | 81-81 | −0.2 | 81.0 W | 81.0 W | — |
 Texas Rangers | 80-82 | −0.3 | 80.0 W | 80.0 W | — |
 Baltimore Orioles | 79-82 | −0.1 | 79.5 W | 79.5 W | — |
 Toronto Blue Jays | 79-83 | −0.3 | 79.0 W | 79.0 W | — |
 Minnesota Twins | 77-85 | −0.4 | 77.0 W | 77.0 W | — |
 Detroit Tigers | 76-86 | +0.4 | 76.0 W | 76.0 W | — |
 Seattle Mariners | 76-86 | −0.4 | 76.0 W | 76.0 W | — |
 Kansas City Royals | 69-93 | −0.7 | 69.0 W | 69.0 W | — |
 Athletics | 64-98 | −1.5 | 64.0 W | 64.0 W | — |
 Los Angeles Angels | 62-100 | −0.6 | 62.0 W | 62.0 W | — |
National League
| Team | Record | Margin / game | Win pace | Margin projection | Next 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Milwaukee Brewers | 103-59 | +1.3 | 103.0 W | 103.0 W | — |
 Los Angeles Dodgers | 100-62 | +1.2 | 100.0 W | 100.0 W | — |
 Atlanta Braves | 94-68 | +0.7 | 94.0 W | 94.0 W | — |
 San Diego Padres | 91-71 | +0.3 | 91.0 W | 91.0 W | — |
 Chicago Cubs | 89-73 | +0.9 | 89.0 W | 89.0 W | — |
 Philadelphia Phillies | 88-74 | +0.1 | 88.0 W | 88.0 W | — |
 Arizona Diamondbacks | 86-76 | +0.1 | 86.0 W | 86.0 W | — |
 Pittsburgh Pirates | 82-80 | +0.2 | 82.0 W | 82.0 W | — |
 Miami Marlins | 80-82 | +0.0 | 80.0 W | 80.0 W | — |
 St. Louis Cardinals | 77-85 | −0.2 | 77.0 W | 77.0 W | — |
 Washington Nationals | 77-85 | +0.0 | 77.0 W | 77.0 W | — |
 Cincinnati Reds | 75-87 | −1.0 | 75.0 W | 75.0 W | — |
 New York Mets | 74-88 | −0.2 | 74.0 W | 74.0 W | — |
 San Francisco Giants | 65-97 | −0.6 | 65.0 W | 65.0 W | — |
 Colorado Rockies | 58-104 | −1.2 | 58.0 W | 58.0 W | — |
How to read this
Win pace assumes a team keeps winning at its current rate. Margin projection uses points scored and allowed instead (the “Pythagorean” method), which is steadier early in a season. Next 7 days adds up our model’s win chance for each of the team’s upcoming games — for example, 1.4 of 2 means the model expects about 1.4 wins from its next two games.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Early in a season, with only a few games played, they swing a lot. Records and scoring from ESPN.
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